Winter wheat production estimate up on month

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Winter wheat production estimate up on month

The USDA has increased its estimate for this year’s winter wheat crop.

Production is now projected at 1.182 billion bushels, 1% above the May guess on a slightly higher average yield figure, up 0.3 bushels per acre to 48.2, with a 1% cut in hard red winter to 581.801 million bushels canceled out by a 1% gain for soft red winter to 357.953 million and 5% jump for white winter to 241.868 million bushels. Harvested area is pegged at 24.499 million acres.

That’s still 7% below a year ago on smaller acreage and yield numbers. In 2021, winter wheat totaled 1.277 billion bushels with an average yield of 50.2 bushels per acre and harvested area of 25.464 million acres. That production total included 749.489 million bushels of hard red winter, 360.689 million bushels of soft red winter, and 167.187 million bushels of white winter.

The USDA’s next production update is out July 12th.

Comparisons for applicable Brownfield states:

Arkansas: 9.12 million bushels, compared to 8.41 million in 2021; Average yield: 57 bushels per acre, compared to 55 a month ago and 58 a year ago; Harvested area: 160,000 acres, up 15,000 from last year

Illinois: 54.48 million bushels, compared to 48.19 million in 2021; Average yield: 78 bushels per acre, compared to 75 a month ago and 79 a year ago; Harvested area: 660,000 acres, up 50,000 from last year

Indiana: 18.72 million bushels, compared to 22.95 million in 2021; Average yield: 78 bushels per acre, compared to 76 a month ago and 85 a year ago; Harvested area: 240,000 acres, down 30,000 from last year

Kansas: 271.05 million bushels, compared to 364 million in 2021; Average yield: 39 bushels per acre, compared to 39 a month ago and 52 a year ago; Harvested area: 6.95 million acres, down 50,000 from last year

Michigan: 33.575 million bushels, compared to 45.36 million in 2021; Average yield: 79 bushels per acre, compared to 79 a month ago and 81 a year ago; Harvested area: 425,000 acres, down 135,000 from last year

Missouri: 44.02 million bushels, compared to 31.85 million in 2021; Average yield: Record expected 71 bushels per acre, compared to 67 a month ago and 65 a year ago; Harvested area: 620,000 acres, up 130,000 from last year

Nebraska: 36.9 million bushels, compared to 41.16 million in 2021; Average yield: 41 bushels per acre, compared to 41 a month ago and 49 a year ago; Harvested area: 900,000 acres, up 60,000 from last year

Ohio: 34.96 million bushels, compared to 43.775 million in 2021; Average yield: 76 bushels per acre, compared to 76 a month ago and 85 a year ago; Harvested area: 460,000 acres, down 55,000 from last year

South Dakota: 33.84 million bushels, compared to 27.36 million in 2021; Average yield: 47 bushels per acre, compared to 45 a month ago and 38 a year ago; Harvested area: 720,000 acres, unchanged from last year

Tennessee: 24.09 million bushels, compared to 23.43 million in 2021; Average yield: Record expected 73 bushels per acre, compared to 76 a month ago and 71 a year ago; Harvested area: 330,000 acres, unchanged from last year

Wisconsin: 16.06 million bushels, compared to 18.375 million in 2021; Average yield: 73 bushels per acre, compared to 70 a month ago and 75 a year ago; Harvested area: 220,000 acres, down 45,000 from last year

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