USDA raises cotton production outlook

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USDA raises cotton production outlook

The USDA has increased its 2021 production estimate for upland cotton.

The crop is now seen at 17.91 million bales, up 58,000 from November with a slightly higher average yield estimate, now at 877 pounds per acre, compared to 874 last month. That’s also nearly 4 million bales larger than the 2020 total due to bigger planted area along with a better average yield. 2020 production totaled 14.061 million bales with an average yield of 835 pounds per acre.

Cottonseed production is pegged at 5,576,000 tons, compared to 4,509,000 a year ago.

The USDA left domestic ending stocks for all types of cotton unchanged on the month with that higher production estimate canceled out by a rise in unaccounted for use, while world ending stocks were down just over a million tons. The average farm price for U.S. upland cotton held at $.90 per pound.

The USDA tightened the balance sheet for U.S. rice. The domestic rice carryout is estimated at 34.5 million hundredweight, down a half a million on the month due to reduced expectations for both imports and exports. The average farm price was steady at $14.80 per hundredweight. World rice stocks were down on the month.

The USDA’s next set of supply and demand estimates is out January 12th.

Comparisons for Brownfield states:

Arkansas: 1.26 million bales, compared to 1.277 million in 2020; record expected average yield of 1,287 pounds per acre, compared to 1,226 a month ago and 1,179 a year ago; harvested area of 470,000 acre, compared to 520,000 last year

Kansas: 210,000 bales, compared to 300,000 in 2020; average yield of 988 pounds per acre, compared to 1,022 a month ago and 783 a year ago; harvested area of 101,000 acres, compared to 184,000 last year

Missouri: 850,000 bales, compared to 684,000 in 2020; average yield of 1,316 pounds per acre, compared to 1,285 a month ago and 1,144 a year ago; harvested area of 310,000 acres, compared to 287,000 last year

Tennessee: 600,000 bales, compared to 611,000 in 2020; average yield of 1,067 pounds per acre, compared to 1,067 a month ago and 1,066 a year ago; harvested area of 270,000 acres, compared to 275,000 last year

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