News
USDA reduces wheat crop outlook
The USDA made a larger than expected cut to its 2021 U.S. wheat production estimate following downward adjustments for both winter and spring wheat. Both crops have seen significant impacts from drought conditions in portions of the U.S. Plains.
All wheat production is estimated at 1.646 billion bushels, a decline of more than 51 million from August and more than 182 million from 2020, with an average yield of 44.3 bushels per acre, down fractionally on the month and 5.4 on the year.
Winter wheat is seen at 1.277 billion bushels, a cut of more than 41 million from last month, but a jump of nearly 106 million from last year, with an average yield of 50.2 bushels per acre, compared to 51.8 in August and 50.9 in 2020.
Spring wheat came out at 331.14 million tons, a drop of about 13 million from a month ago and 256 million from a year ago, hit hard by smaller planted area and a higher rate of abandonment during harvest. The average yield for spring wheat of 32.6 bushels per acre was up slightly on the month, but well below last year’s average of 48.6 bushels per acre.
Comparisons for Brownfield states:
Arkansas: Winter Wheat: 8.41 million bushels, compared to 4.125 million in 2020; average yield of 58 bushels per acre, compared to 55 a year ago; harvested area of 145,000 acres, compared to 75,000 last year
Illinois: Winter Wheat: 48.19 million bushels, compared to 35.36 million in 2020; record average yield of 79 bushels per acre, compared to 68 a year ago; harvested area of 610,000 acres, compared to 520,000 last year
Indiana: Winter Wheat: 22.95 million bushels, compared to 17.5 million in 2020; record average yield of 85 bushels per acre, compared to 70 a year ago; harvested area of 270,000 acres, compared to 250,000 last year
Kansas: Winter Wheat: 364 million bushels, compared to 281.25 million in 2020; average yield of 52 bushels per acre, compared to 45 a year ago; harvested area of 7 million bushels, compared to 6.25 million last year
Michigan: Winter Wheat: 45.36 million bushels, compared to 33.75 million in 2020; average yield of 81 bushels per acre, compared to 75 a month ago; harvested area of 560,000 acres, compared to 450,000 last year
Minnesota: Spring Wheat: 55.68 million bushels, compared to 72.08 million in 2020; average yield of 48 bushels per acre, compared to 53 a year ago; harvested area of 1.16 million acres, compared to 1.36 million last year
Missouri: Winter Wheat: 31.85 million bushels, compared to 22.94 million in 2020; average yield of 65 bushels per acre, compared to 62 a year ago; harvested area of 490,000 acres, compared to 370,000 last year
Nebraska: Winter Wheat: 41.16 million bushels, compared to 34.03 million in 2020; average yield of 49 bushels per acre, compared to 41 a year ago; harvested area of 840,000 acres, compared to 830,000 last year
Ohio: Winter Wheat: 43.775 million bushels, compared to 34.79 million in 2020; record expected average yield of 85 bushels per acre, compared to 71 a year ago; harvested area of 515,000 acres, compared to 490,000 last year
South Dakota: Winter Wheat: 27.36 million bushels, compared to 34.8 million a year ago; harvested area of 38 bushels per acre, compared to 58 a year ago; harvested area of 720,000 acres, compared to 600,000 last year; Spring Wheat: 17.11 million bushels, compared to 35.485 million in 2020; average yield of 29 bushels per acre, compared to 47 a year ago; harvested area of 590,000 acres, compared to 755,000 last year
Tennessee: Winter Wheat: 23.43 million bushels, compared to 13.57 million in 2020; average yield of 71 bushels per acre, compared to 59 a year ago; harvested area of 330,000 acres, compared to 230,000 last year
Wisconsin: Winter Wheat: 18.375 million bushels, compared to 8.625 million in 2020; average yield of 75 bushels per acre, compared to 69 a year ago; harvested area of 245,000 acres, compared to 125,000 last year
